Macro - Finance

نویسنده

  • John H. Cochrane
چکیده

Macro-finance addresses the link between asset prices and economic fluctuations. Many models reflect the same rough idea: the market’s ability to bear risk varies over time, larger in good times, and less in bad times. Models achieve this similar result by quite different mechanisms, and I contrast their strengths and weaknesses. I outline how macro-finance models may illuminate macroeconomics, by putting time-varying risk aversion, risk-bearing capacity, and precautionary savings at the center of recessions rather than variation in “the” interest rate and intertemporal substitution. I emphasize unsolved questions and profitable avenues for research. ∗This essay is based on a talk at the University of Melbourne 2016 “Finance Down Under” conference. I am grateful to Carole Comerton-Forde, Vincent Gregoire, Bruce Grundy and Federico Nardari for inviting me. I am grateful to Ivo Welch for thoughtful comments

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Forecasting the Stock Return Distribution Using Macro-Finance Variables

This paper proposes a new method to forecast S&P 500 return distribution by combining quantile regression models using macro-finance variables with volatility-based models including various standard EGARCH and stochastic volatility specifications. 30 density forecasting models are compared and combined in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise. Using macro-finance variables is found to help subs...

متن کامل

1 Public Expenditure and Financial Management Systems – Design and Implementation

The subject is about the considerable gains possible through modern management approaches to public finance. Whilst the value-for-money consideration lies at the base of any such approach, the derived fiscal and macro-economic effects can be hugely significant. Yet all too often an appreciation of these potential benefits seems absent from the thinking of Finance Ministers and senior finance of...

متن کامل

Working Paper 265 Impact of Macro-economic Environment on Diversification-performance Relationship: A Cross Country Study of India and Japan

.......................................................................................................................................... i

متن کامل

Finance Constraint and Firm Investment: A Survey of Econometric Methodology

It is well established in the macro-finance literature that finance is a crucial factor in the growth process via capital formation, hence the importance of finance constraint in the theory of investment. The issue is particularly important in the emerging market economies which are considered as southern engines of global growth. A very large empirical literature has emerged to test the hypoth...

متن کامل

The topology of macro financial flows: An application of stochastic flow diagrams

A large portion of Macroeconomic and Financial research is built upon classical applications of Linear Algebra (such as regression analysis) and Stochastic Calculus (such as valuation models). As a result, most Macroeconomic and Financial research has inherited a focus on geometric locations rather than logical relations. Ideally, Econometric models could be complemented with Topological and Gr...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2016